Every year before this one I've said I'm not going to come down with a case of Oscar fever, and then I do anyway. This year I said screw it. I'm excited. The Oscars give film nerds like myself an unparalleled opportunity for bitchery. To that end, here's who I predict will win, and who I want to win.
Best Picture
Will Win: Argo
Want to Win: Beasts of the Southern Wild. I like Argo; it was a good, solid film. Of the crop this year it's probably in second or third place. But Beasts gave me something new and unexpected on top of being a well-made film. I'll be happy with Argo winning, if it does. Ditto Zero Dark Thirty and Lincoln. If Silver Linings Playbook manages a win I might throw something at my TV.
Director
Will Win: Ang Lee for Life of Pi. Affleck's not nominated for Argo, so I imagine the Academy just throwing their hands up and saying "Fine, give it to anyone, we already screwed this category up. I don't care." Spielberg could easily take it as well, but I'm gonna mentally flip a coin and say Lee.
Want to Win: Benh Zeitlin for Beasts of the Southern Wild. The mixture of fantasy/reality in Beasts could have been very easy to screw up. I've heard from other people that it didn't quite work for them, but I was absorbed in the world Zeitlin created the whole time. Not a chance in hell he'll win though.
Actor
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
Want to Win: Daniel Day-Lewis. I actually wasn't all that fond of his Lincoln performance, though—it was all inspiring speeches and "Man, look at Lincoln, he's so wise" and very little of what was actually going on inside his head. The film treated him as an idol rather than a real, complicated person, and while that's a valid choice for Spielberg to make (I saw the main character more as America itself than Lincoln), it didn't give Day-Lewis anything particularly interesting or meaty to do. Wasn't that impressed by Hugh Jackman in Les Mis or Bradley Cooper in Silver Linings Playbook. And Joaquin Phoenix is disqualified for The Master only because I haven't seen it yet. And who are we kidding, DDL's getting it.
Actress
Will Win: Jessica Chastain. Something tells me she'll pull the upset over Jennifer Lawrence.
Want to Win: Quvenzhané Wallis. No way in hell it'll happen. But it would be nice.
Supporting Actress
Will Win: Anne Hathaway
Want to Win: I honestly don't know on this one. Hathaway's performance in Les Mis bugged me—it was so over the top and dramatic. You don't need to emote that much when you're in close-up, Anne! Kind of overdoing it a bit. Then again, A) big performances are kind of what the supporting category is for, and B) I honestly don't know who I'd want to win instead. Sally Field was the most meh part of Lincoln, and though I love 'er I have no clue why Jacki Weaver was nominated for Silver Linings Playbook. Her character didn't even do anything! And I didn't see The Sessions or The Master, though I suspect if I'd caught the latter I'd be rooting for Amy Adams hardcore.
Supporting Actor
Will Win: Tommy Lee Jones
Want to Win: Tommy Lee Jones. I wasn't entirely thrilled by Lincoln, but I came out of it thinking "If Tommy Lee Jones doesn't win for that I will punch someone." Not that he cares what goes on at awards shows.
Animated Feature
Will Win: Wreck-It Ralph
Want to Win: ParaNorman. That movie is a triumph, and I want it to win everything. But Wreck-It Ralph was good too, as was Brave, which also has a fair shot at winning.
Cinematography:
Will Win: Skyfall cinematographer Roger Deakins is a legend, and he hasn't won yet. With all the attention and prestige Skyfall's been getting for being such an unexpectedly (to some) quality Bond film, I think the Academy will feel A) comfortable and B) cool giving it to him this year.
Want to Win: Seamus McGarvey for Anna Karenina. The camera movements he did with the whole stage set-up was amazing. Dude's a wizard.
Original Song:
Will Win: Adele, Skyfall. No question.
Want to Win: Same.
Hair and Makeup:
Will Win: Les Misérables
Want to Win: The Hobbit. Dwarf beards.
Documentary
Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man
Want to Win: Ditto.
Editing
Will Win: Argo
Want to Win: D-d-ditto. That scene at the airport was a thing of beauty.
Original Screenplay
Will Win: Zero Dark Thirty, though Django could take it as well. I don't understand the Academy's boner for Tarantino.
Want to Win: Zero Dark Thirty. That's some quality story condensation right there.
Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Argo
Want to Win: Argo
Visual Effects:
Will Win: Life of Pi
Want to Win: Life of Pi. JFC, that tiger. The visual effects in this movie were amazing. I wish I could say the same of The Hobbit, and on balance they were, but that damn plastic-looking Pale Orc screwed it up for me.
Best Picture
Will Win: Argo
Want to Win: Beasts of the Southern Wild. I like Argo; it was a good, solid film. Of the crop this year it's probably in second or third place. But Beasts gave me something new and unexpected on top of being a well-made film. I'll be happy with Argo winning, if it does. Ditto Zero Dark Thirty and Lincoln. If Silver Linings Playbook manages a win I might throw something at my TV.
Director
Will Win: Ang Lee for Life of Pi. Affleck's not nominated for Argo, so I imagine the Academy just throwing their hands up and saying "Fine, give it to anyone, we already screwed this category up. I don't care." Spielberg could easily take it as well, but I'm gonna mentally flip a coin and say Lee.
Want to Win: Benh Zeitlin for Beasts of the Southern Wild. The mixture of fantasy/reality in Beasts could have been very easy to screw up. I've heard from other people that it didn't quite work for them, but I was absorbed in the world Zeitlin created the whole time. Not a chance in hell he'll win though.
Actor
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
Want to Win: Daniel Day-Lewis. I actually wasn't all that fond of his Lincoln performance, though—it was all inspiring speeches and "Man, look at Lincoln, he's so wise" and very little of what was actually going on inside his head. The film treated him as an idol rather than a real, complicated person, and while that's a valid choice for Spielberg to make (I saw the main character more as America itself than Lincoln), it didn't give Day-Lewis anything particularly interesting or meaty to do. Wasn't that impressed by Hugh Jackman in Les Mis or Bradley Cooper in Silver Linings Playbook. And Joaquin Phoenix is disqualified for The Master only because I haven't seen it yet. And who are we kidding, DDL's getting it.
Actress
Will Win: Jessica Chastain. Something tells me she'll pull the upset over Jennifer Lawrence.
Want to Win: Quvenzhané Wallis. No way in hell it'll happen. But it would be nice.
Supporting Actress
Will Win: Anne Hathaway
Want to Win: I honestly don't know on this one. Hathaway's performance in Les Mis bugged me—it was so over the top and dramatic. You don't need to emote that much when you're in close-up, Anne! Kind of overdoing it a bit. Then again, A) big performances are kind of what the supporting category is for, and B) I honestly don't know who I'd want to win instead. Sally Field was the most meh part of Lincoln, and though I love 'er I have no clue why Jacki Weaver was nominated for Silver Linings Playbook. Her character didn't even do anything! And I didn't see The Sessions or The Master, though I suspect if I'd caught the latter I'd be rooting for Amy Adams hardcore.
Will Win: Tommy Lee Jones
Want to Win: Tommy Lee Jones. I wasn't entirely thrilled by Lincoln, but I came out of it thinking "If Tommy Lee Jones doesn't win for that I will punch someone." Not that he cares what goes on at awards shows.
Animated Feature
Will Win: Wreck-It Ralph
Want to Win: ParaNorman. That movie is a triumph, and I want it to win everything. But Wreck-It Ralph was good too, as was Brave, which also has a fair shot at winning.
Cinematography:
Will Win: Skyfall cinematographer Roger Deakins is a legend, and he hasn't won yet. With all the attention and prestige Skyfall's been getting for being such an unexpectedly (to some) quality Bond film, I think the Academy will feel A) comfortable and B) cool giving it to him this year.
Want to Win: Seamus McGarvey for Anna Karenina. The camera movements he did with the whole stage set-up was amazing. Dude's a wizard.
Original Song:
Will Win: Adele, Skyfall. No question.
Want to Win: Same.
 | |
| Dwarf beard swag |
Will Win: Les Misérables
Want to Win: The Hobbit. Dwarf beards.
Documentary
Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man
Want to Win: Ditto.
Editing
Will Win: Argo
Want to Win: D-d-ditto. That scene at the airport was a thing of beauty.
Original Screenplay
Will Win: Zero Dark Thirty, though Django could take it as well. I don't understand the Academy's boner for Tarantino.
Want to Win: Zero Dark Thirty. That's some quality story condensation right there.
Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Argo
Want to Win: Argo
 |
| Tell me why-ee |
Will Win: Life of Pi
Want to Win: Life of Pi. JFC, that tiger. The visual effects in this movie were amazing. I wish I could say the same of The Hobbit, and on balance they were, but that damn plastic-looking Pale Orc screwed it up for me.
0 comments:
Post a Comment